Chapter 9: How Experience Forms | StructLang
In the fake dog refund incident, one detail is worth noting.
Although the seller and official were two different people in different settings, their response strategies were almost identical: stonewalling, delaying, hoping I’d back down.
Why?
Because in their past experience, this strategy worked.
Most customers facing stonewalling choose to give up. The seller has seen too many such people, and so has the official.
Each successful stonewalling reinforces a belief: “As long as I drag it out, the other side will eventually give up.”
This belief is a Causal Impression.
The Formation Mechanism of Causal Impressions
What Is a Causal Impression
You walk into a restaurant and see “braised pork” on the menu.
A judgment immediately appears in your mind: “Ordering this should be good.”
Where does this “should” come from?
It’s not that you analyzed this restaurant’s chef skill, ingredient sources, or cooking techniques. Rather, you’ve eaten braised pork many times before, and most times it was pretty good.
This experience has been compressed into a simple connection:
Braised pork → GoodThis is a causal impression.
Causal Impression = High-frequency combinations in experience, compressed into “if A, then B” intuition
It’s not logical reasoning, not scientific verification, but the sediment of experience.
How Causal Impressions Form
Starting from Line Structure
Back to Chapter 2, you eat that bowl of noodles:
This bowl of noodles = Tasty(+0.6)This is one judgment.
If it’s only once, no causal impression will form.
Accumulation of High-Frequency Combinations
But if you eat at this restaurant ten times in a row, each time:
1st time: +0.6
2nd time: +0.7
3rd time: +0.5
4th time: +0.8
...
10th time: +0.6Nine out of ten times above +0.5, only once at +0.2.
At this point, a causal impression forms:
This noodle shop → GoodYou no longer need to judge carefully each time. When you see “this noodle shop,” your brain automatically invokes this causal impression and directly gives a judgment: “Going here should be fine.”
From Line to Surface to Volume to Subject-Object
Causal impressions don’t only exist in line structure.
Causal impressions in surface structure:
You bought stocks ten times and found:
High return × Low risk → Made money 9 times
High return × High risk → Made money 6 times, lost 3 times
Low return × Low risk → Never lost but earned little all 10 timesForming causal impression:
(+ +) → Good result (but rare)
(+ -) → Risky but worth betting
(- +) → Safe but not profitableCausal impressions in volume structure:
You hired twenty employees and found:
(+,+,+) → 15 performed excellently
(-,+,+) → Only 2 out of 10 eventually converted to (+,+,+)
(+,-,+) → 8 out of 10 eventually failedForming causal impression:
(+,+,+) → Reliable
(-,+,+) → Potential type, but uncertain
(+,-,+) → Lacking capability, hard to succeedCausal impressions in subject-object structure:
The seller stonewalled a hundred customer complaints, among which:
90 times → Customer eventually gave up
8 times → Customer made a fuss but could be settled with money
2 times → Met truly persistent customers, refundedForming causal impression:
Customer complaint → Stonewall and delay → 90% will give upThis is why he used the stonewalling strategy on me too. In his experience, this strategy has a 90% success rate.
Strength of Causal Impressions
Not all causal impressions are equally strong.
Strong causal impression:
You threw ten stones into water, all ten sank.
Stone → Will sink (100%)This causal impression is extremely strong. You won’t verify “maybe this time it won’t sink.”
But even strong causal impressions are still condition-dependent:
- “Stones will sink” doesn’t hold for pumice (porous structure, density less than water)
- “Eating makes you full” doesn’t hold for certain disease patients
- There’s no absolute causality transcending conditions
This recognition is important:
- Acknowledge experience’s stability
- But don’t treat stability as absoluteness
Weak causal impression:
You met five people wearing red clothes, three had bad attitudes.
Red clothes → Bad attitude? (60%)This causal impression is very weak. You know this might be coincidence and won’t truly believe “people wearing red clothes all have bad attitudes.”
Strength of causal impression depends on:
- Frequency: More occurrences, stronger impression
- Consistency: Same every time, or exceptions?
- Importance: Greater impact (like severe burns are painful), deeper impression
- Recency: Recent experiences have higher weight
Causal Impressions at Work
In the fake dog refund incident, causal impressions are everywhere.
The Seller’s Causal Impression
Customer complaint → Stonewall → Customer gives up (90% success rate)So he used the stonewalling strategy on me.
But his causal impression was outdated. Because he hadn’t met my type:
- Anchored legal origin (not business dispute, but legal issue)
- Held key evidence (lack of qualifications)
- Persistent pressure without giving up
His 90% success rate was built on the premise “most customers will back down.” But I don’t belong to “most.”
The Official’s Causal Impression
Complaint → Stonewall → Complainer gives up (85% success rate)
Superior accountability → Big trouble → Must handle immediately (100%)So he initially stonewalled, but immediately changed attitude upon hearing “have something to tell the mayor.”
The first causal impression made him stonewall, the second made him leap.
My Causal Impression
Legal origin → Highest weight → Will win eventually (high success rate)
Hold evidence → Other side has loopholes → Persistent pressure works
Deadlock → Always has weaknesses → Don't give upThese causal impressions supported my (+,+,+) state.
If my causal impression was “complaints rarely succeed” or “regulatory departments don’t care,” I would have given up on day one.
Scientific Causality—High-Quality Causal Impressions
You might ask: What’s the difference between scientific laws and everyday experience?
Answer: Different quality, but same essence.
Scientific Causality Is Also Causal Impression
Richard Feynman said in his 1964 lecture:
“In general we look for a new law by the following process: First we guess it. Then we compute the consequences of the guess to see what would be implied if this law that we guessed is right. Then we compare the result of the computation to nature, with experiment or experience… If it disagrees with experiment it is wrong.”
Science isn’t “discovering objective truth,” but “high-frequency validated reason matching.”
Formation process of scientific causality:
Propose hypothesis (guess)
↓
Derive predictions
↓
Experimental verification (multiple times, multiple people, multiple conditions)
↓
If stable overlap → Form scientific causal impression
If unstable → Revise or overturnExample: Law of Universal Gravitation
Newton didn’t “discover” universal gravitation but “guessed” a formula:
F = G × (m₁m₂)/r²Then:
- Calculated what planetary orbits should look like
- Compared with observations: perfect match
- Scientists worldwide repeatedly verified: countless stable overlaps over 200 years
- Formed scientific causal impression: “Under macroscopic, low-speed, weak gravitational field conditions, this formula is effective”
Note the condition limitation:
- Not “absolutely effective”
- But “stable under specific conditions”
Characteristics of Scientific Causality
Not saying scientific causality is “absolutely correct,” but that it has “higher quality”
High quality of scientific causal impressions is reflected in:
1. Extremely high verification frequency
- Personal experience: A few to dozens of times
- Scientific laws: Millions of experiments
2. Extremely broad subjective overlap
- Personal experience: Individual or small group
- Scientific laws: Global scientific community consensus
3. High prediction accuracy
- Personal experience: Vague judgment
- Scientific laws: Quantitative predictions (can reach multiple decimal places)
4. Strong reproducibility
- Personal experience: Hard to repeat under different conditions
- Scientific laws: Anyone can repeat under same conditions
5. Active falsification
- Personal experience: Tends to reinforce existing impressions
- Scientific laws: Actively seek counterexamples
6. Clear applicable conditions
- Personal experience: Often omit conditions
- Scientific laws: Explicitly state applicable scope
Scientific Causality Is Still Condition-Dependent
Important recognition: Scientific causality is also not “absolute truth.”
Example: Newton vs Einstein
Newton’s causal impression:
Mass + Distance → Gravity (F=Gm₁m₂/r²)
Verification conditions: Macroscopic, low-speed, weak gravitational field
Effectiveness: Extremely stable for 200 yearsEinstein’s revision:
Discovery: Mercury's perihelion precession anomaly (Newton couldn't explain)
New guess: Spacetime is curved
Verification: 1919 solar eclipse observation of light bending
Result: Under high-speed, strong gravitational field conditions, Einstein is more accurateThis isn’t “Newton was wrong”:
- Under macroscopic, low-speed conditions, Newton is still effective
- Einstein’s applicable scope is just broader
- This is rewriting of causal impression, not negation
This means:
- Scientific causality can also be revised
- There’s no “ultimate truth”
- Only “the highest quality reason under current conditions”
Characteristics of Everyday Causal Impressions
Compared to scientific causality: not essentially different, but different quality
Quality spectrum of causal impressions:
Hallucination < Superstition < Everyday experience < Scientific laws
Not categorically separate, but a continuous quality gradientCharacteristics of everyday causal impressions:
1. Low verification frequency
- A few to dozens of experiences
2. Narrow subjective overlap
- Individual or small group
3. Vague prediction
- “Probably like this”
4. Weak reproducibility
- May fail if conditions slightly different
5. Confirmation bias
- Tend to remember what came true, forget failures
6. Condition omission
- “Hard work leads to success” (omits resources, timing, luck…)
Comparison Table: Quality Difference, Not Essential Difference
| Dimension | Everyday Causal Impression | Scientific Causal Impression |
|---|---|---|
| Formation mechanism | Personal experience compression | Collective high-frequency verification compression |
| Verification frequency | Low (few to dozens of times) | Extremely high (millions of times) |
| Subjective overlap | Narrow (individual or small group) | Extremely broad (global consensus) |
| Prediction accuracy | Vague | Quantitatively precise |
| Reproducibility | Weak | Strong |
| Condition statement | Often omitted | Explicitly stated |
| Falsifiability | Resists falsification | Actively falsifies |
| Revision mechanism | Hard to revise | Systematic revision |
| Quality | Lower | Very high |
| Essence | Both are causal impressions | Both are causal impressions |
Key Insights
1. Scientific causality is also subjective product
- Not “discovery of objective truth”
- But “highly stable consensus of academic community”
2. Scientific causality has extremely high quality
- But not “absolutely correct”
- But “optimal reason under current conditions”
3. Scientific causality can be revised
- Newton → Einstein
- Classical mechanics → Quantum mechanics
- Each revision expands applicable conditions, not total negation
4. Everyday causal impressions have value
- Though lower quality
- But necessary and effective in daily decisions
- Can’t be dismissed just because “not scientific”
5. Distinguishing “quality” isn’t “devaluing”
- Acknowledge science has higher quality
- Doesn’t equal devaluing everyday experience
- But clearly understanding their respective applicable scopes
Practical Wisdom
Toward scientific causality:
- Highly trust within its applicable scope
- But acknowledge condition dependency
- Stay open to future revisions
Toward everyday causal impressions:
- Use in everyday scenarios
- But beware of over-generalization
- Seek higher quality verification for important decisions
Mistakes not to make:
- ❌ Treat science as “absolute truth”
- ❌ Treat everyday experience as “all wrong”
- ❌ Demand scientific standards for all cognition
Correct attitude:
- ✓ Acknowledge quality differences
- ✓ Choose based on scenario
- ✓ Maintain updatability
Experience-Based Structure vs Knowledge-Based Structure
We just discussed causal impressions—how experience sediments into intuition. Now we need to distinguish a more important question:
Is the experience your personal experience, or told to you by others?
These two have fundamental differences.
Definition and Distinction
Experience-based Structure: Cognitive models formed through direct experience by the subject.
Characteristics:
- Conditioned reflex-like (quick invocation)
- Highly individualized (only effective for you)
- Easily partial (limited samples)
Knowledge-based Structure: Cognitive models formed through indirect learning (stories, narratives, education, cultural input) by the subject.
Characteristics:
- Shareable (can be transmitted to others)
- Risk of being misled (unverified)
- Needs transformation to become experience (detailed below)
Science: A special experience-based structure meeting reliability (reproducible verification) and falsifiability (allowing counterexamples to overturn).
Characteristics:
- More rigorous experience management method
- But still subjective product (consensus of scientific community)
- Highest quality experience-based structure
Fake Dog Refund Case Comparison
Let’s use the fake dog refund incident to understand these two structures’ differences.
My experience-based structure:
Legal origin → Highest weight → Rights protection success
This is my personal experience:
- Discovered sign loophole
- Held legal evidence
- Pressured official
- Finally got money back
This structure is "real" for me because I verified it.Your knowledge-based structure:
If you only heard me tell this story:
For you, "legal origin is useful" is just knowledge.
You know "this happened," but you haven't personally verified.
This is knowledge-based structure.Conditions for transformation:
If you encounter similar situation next time:
- Try using legal origin
- Hold key evidence
- Successfully protect rights
At this point, knowledge-based structure transforms into your experience-based structure.Fundamental Differences Between the Two
Difference 1: Invocation Speed
Experience-based structure:
- Instant invocation (no need to think)
- Conditioned reflex-like
- Example: Seller sees complaint, immediately thinks “stonewall”
Knowledge-based structure:
- Needs active recall (“I remember a theory says…”)
- Needs scenario matching (“Does this apply?”)
- Example: You heard “rights protection needs finding legal loopholes,” but might not remember when things happen
Difference 2: Reliability
Experience-based structure:
- Reliable in similar scenarios
- But easy to over-generalize (limited samples)
- Example: Seller’s “stonewalling strategy” works 90% of time, but fails with me
Knowledge-based structure:
- Unverified, reliability unknown
- May be misled (story might be fabricated)
- Example: Success studies’ “hard work leads to success”
Difference 3: Shareability
Experience-based structure:
- Highly individualized
- Hard to completely transmit to others
- Example: My rights protection experience, you might not replicate even after hearing
Knowledge-based structure:
- Shareable, spreadable
- Easy to form culture, tradition
- Example: Concepts like “suffering is blessing” can pass through generations
Three Axioms
Axiom 1: Shareability Axiom
Knowledge-based structure is shareable and can be transmitted across individuals; experience-based structure is highly individualized and fully effective only for the experiencer.
Example:
- I tell you the fake dog refund method (knowledge transmission)
- But your situation might be different (different seller, evidence, official)
- So my experience can’t directly replicate to you
Axiom 2: Error Axiom
Experience-based structure is limited by finite samples, easily partial. Knowledge-based structure is limited by narrative transmission, easily misled. Science emphasizes verification but still isn’t absolute truth.
Example:
- Seller’s experience: “Stonewalling works” (partial, because he hasn’t met all types of customers)
- Knowledge: “Hard work leads to success” (misled, omits luck, resources and other conditions)
- Science: “Newtonian mechanics” (needs revision to relativity under high speeds)
Axiom 3: Embedding Axiom
Experience-based structure embeds more in intuition invocation stage; knowledge-based structure embeds more in rational reference stage.
Example:
- Seller sees complaint → Immediately stonewall (experience-based, intuitive)
- I think about strategy → Remember “legal origin has highest weight” (knowledge-based, rational reference)
Three Theorems
Theorem 1: Transformation Theorem
Others’ experience-based structure → I can only first absorb as knowledge-based structure. Through self-trial-and-error and verification → Then transform into my experience-based structure. When my experience is stable enough, generalizable → Can be compressed back to knowledge-based structure, entering the shared library.
Transformation path:
Others' experience → My knowledge → My verification → My experience → New knowledge (transmit to others)Fake dog refund case:
My experience (rights protection success)
↓
I tell you → Your knowledge ("legal origin useful")
↓
You try yourself → Your verification
↓
Success → Your experience
↓
You write article → New knowledge (spread to more people)Theorem 2: Science Formula Theorem
Science = Experience-based structure × (Reliability ∧ Falsifiability). Science isn’t truth transcending experience, but more rigorous experience management process.
Explanation:
- Science is also experience (experiments, observations)
- But requires reliability (reproducible verification)
- Also requires falsifiability (allows counterexamples to overturn)
- This makes science “highest quality experience-based structure”
Theorem 3: Partiality Necessity Theorem
Any individual’s experience is necessarily limited by finite samples, thus necessarily partial. Any knowledge obtained through narrative is necessarily compressed, thus necessarily distorted.
Corollary:
- No “completely accurate” experience exists
- No “completely reliable” knowledge exists
- Only countermeasure is: continuous revision
Case Analysis: Child Breaks Glass
Scenario Setting
A child kicks a ball at home and accidentally breaks glass. He faces a choice: admit or hide?
Case 1: Driven by Experience-Based Structure
Past experience:
This child broke things before and was severely criticized by parents, very painful.
Formed experience-based structure:
Damage → Admit → Get scolded → PainCurrent decision:
Sees broken glass → Immediately thinks "will get scolded"
↓
Conditioned reflex activation → HideThis is experience-based structure at work: fast, intuitive, conditioned reflex.
Limitation:
- This experience might be partial (maybe parents won’t be so angry this time)
- But child has no time to verify, can only rely on past experience
Case 2: Driven by Knowledge-Based Structure
Knowledge input:
Child heard a story:
"Someone cleverly lied, avoided punishment, and was praised for being smart."
Formed knowledge-based structure:
Lie → Wisdom → SafetyCurrent decision:
Sees broken glass → Remembers that story
↓
Try to imitate → "The neighbor kid broke it"Risk:
Parents investigate → Find flaws → Child is exposed
↓
Originally wanted to "avoid punishment" → Instead attracted heavier scoldingStructure rewrite:
Knowledge-based structure: "Lie = safe" (fails)
↓
New experience-based structure: "Lie = more serious consequences" (forms)Case 3: Scientific Verification
Hypothesis:
"Honesty will be forgiven"
This is a knowledge-based structure (parents, teachers often say so)Verification process:
1st time: Child honestly admits breaking cup → Parents criticize but attitude mild
2nd time: Child honestly admits staining clothes → Parents don't get angry
3rd time: Child honestly admits bad test score → Parents help analyze reasons
...
Nth time: Stable overlapForm scientific experience:
"In my family, honesty usually gets relatively mild treatment"
This is high-quality experience-based structure:
- Multiple verifications (reliability)
- Clear conditions ("in my family")
- Falsifiable (if parents' attitude suddenly changes, will revise)Comparison of Three Structures
| Type | Source | Invocation Speed | Reliability | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Experience-based | Past scolding | Instant | Higher in similar context | Hide (conditioned reflex) |
| Knowledge-based | Story | Needs recall | Unverified | Lie (imitation) → Fail |
| Scientific experience | Multiple verifications | Relatively fast | High (multiple verifications) | Honest (rational choice) |
Consequences of Multiple Reinforcements
Whether knowledge-based or experience-based structure, when used and reinforced multiple times, it evolves into deeper-level structures:
1. Methodology: Becomes problem-solving template after repeated invocation
- Example: “First lie to test reaction when things happen” (if lying works multiple times)
- Example: “Be honest first when things happen” (if honesty works multiple times)
2. Causal Impression: Forms “default causal chain,” deeply convinced
- Example: “Being beaten = growth” (if culture repeatedly emphasizes)
- Example: “Stonewall = customer gives up” (seller’s high-frequency experience)
3. Correlation Beliefs: Habitually associates unrelated information
- Example: “Wearing red = confident”
- Example: “Number 4 = unlucky”
These “structural sediments” ultimately determine a person’s patterns of processing information and responding to situations, constituting their “stable cognitive form.”
Transformation Mechanism: From Knowledge to Experience
Core process:
Hear about (knowledge-based)
↓
Try (verification)
↓
Feedback (result)
↓
Correction (adjustment)
↓
Stabilize (experience-based)Fake dog refund transmission chain:
My experience: "Legal origin useful"
↓
I tell friend A: A gains knowledge
↓
A tries rights protection next time: A starts verification
↓
A succeeds/fails: A gets feedback
↓
After A tries multiple times: A's experience forms
↓
A tells friend B: B gains knowledge
↓
Loop...Key points:
- Knowledge doesn’t automatically become experience
- Must go through “try-feedback-correct” cycle
- This cycle may need multiple iterations
Practical Wisdom
How to treat experience-based structure:
✓ Everyday scenarios: Trust your intuition (experience-based structure usually effective) ✓ Important decisions: Question your intuition (might be partial experience) ✓ New contexts: Beware over-generalization (your experience might not apply)
How to treat knowledge-based structure:
✓ Learning stage: Widely absorb (first as knowledge reserve) ✓ Application stage: Carefully verify (don’t blindly apply) ✓ Reflection stage: Question source (Who said? Why credible?)
How to achieve transformation:
✓ Actively try: Don’t just stay at “knowing” ✓ Observe feedback: Pay attention to whether actual results match expectations ✓ Timely correction: Adjust understanding if doesn’t match ✓ Multiple verifications: Don’t conclude from once
Traps to beware:
❌ Treat knowledge as experience (“I’ve read many books, so I understand”) ❌ Treat experience as truth (“My experience is right”) ❌ Refuse updates (“I’ve always done it this way”)
One-Sentence Summary
Experience-based structure gives us intuition, knowledge-based structure gives us reference, science is more reliable experience management tool; all three shape our cognition but carry partiality and limitations. The only countermeasure is: continuous verification, continuous revision.
Illusory Causality—Identification and Prevention
Now we know how causal impressions form and the difference between experience-based and knowledge-based structures. But there’s another problem:
Some causal impressions are wrong.
Not saying “not accurate enough,” but saying fundamentally illusory.
What Is Illusory Causality?
Illusory Causality = Causal impression abandons conditions due to compression, causing failure in new contexts
The key is: Conditions were omitted.
Under condition A, “X → Y” holds. But when you compress, you omit condition A. Then using it under condition B, it fails.
Illusion Type 1: Correlation Is Not Causation
Case: Ice Cream Sales and Drowning Accidents
Observed pattern:
Ice cream sales high ← → Drowning accidents manyData shows these two indeed have correlation.
Wrong causal impression:
Eating ice cream → Causes drowning?Real reason:
Hot weather → Ice cream sales high
Hot weather → People swim → Drowning accidents increaseBoth are results of “hot weather” but no causal relationship between them.
Structural analysis:
- This is misreading of surface structure
- Two dimensions change simultaneously but no causal relationship
- There’s a common third factor (weather)
Prevention method:
- Ask: “Are there other possible explanations?”
- Look for hidden third factors
- Don’t easily treat correlation as causation
Illusion Type 2: Causality with Omitted Conditions
Case: Hard Work Leads to Success
Causal impression:
Hard work → SuccessThis is the most common chicken soup-style causality.
Omitted conditions:
- Resources (sufficient funds, connections, information)
- Timing (right thing at right time)
- Capability (basic abilities and learning ability)
- Environment (economic cycles, industry trends)
- Luck (uncontrollable random factors)
More accurate formula:
Hard work + Resources + Timing + Capability + Environment + Luck → Success (probabilistic)Why omitted:
- Inevitable result of compression
- “Hard work” most easily observed and controlled
- Other factors too complex, automatically filtered
Harm:
- Successful people think “all due to my hard work” (ignore luck and resources)
- Failed people think “I’m not working hard enough” (ignore structural obstacles)
- Root of chicken soup literature
Prevention method:
- List omitted conditions
- Evaluate importance of each condition
- Acknowledge role of luck and environment
Illusion Type 3: Survivorship Bias
Case: Management Experience of Successful Companies
Observed pattern:
Successful companies → All have certain management method XWrong causal impression:
Adopt method X → Company successIgnored information:
- Many failed companies also adopted method X
- But they’ve disappeared, we can’t see them
Real situation:
Companies adopting method X:
- Successful: 10 (widely reported)
- Failed: 100 (ignored)
Actual success rate: 10/110 ≈ 9%Structural analysis:
- This is selective retention in compression chain
- “Successful” information amplified
- “Failed” information filtered
Prevention method:
- Ask: “What did failures do?”
- Look for counterexamples
- Beware narratives like “all successful people…”
Illusion Type 4: Hindsight Bias
Case: Predicting Stock Market
Post-event narrative:
Stock market rose
↓
Looking back
↓
"I knew it would rise"Wrong causal impression:
My judgment → Stock market roseReal situation:
- Beforehand there were countless possibilities
- Afterward only retained “came true” judgments
- Forgot “didn’t come true” judgments
Why this happens:
- Memory’s selective retention (compression)
- Brain automatically rationalizes past behavior
- Illusion of “I always knew”
Prevention method:
- Record predictions beforehand (timestamp)
- Honestly compare afterward
- Acknowledge contingency and uncertainty
How Causal Impressions Are Rewritten
In the fake dog refund incident, the seller’s causal impression was rewritten.
Old causal impression:
Customer complaint → Stonewall → 90% will give upNew experience:
Customer complaint → Stonewall → Met persistent one + Regulatory intervention → Forced refundNew causal impression (possibly):
Customer complaint → Stonewall → Sometimes meet persistent ones
If customer holds legal evidence → Stonewalling might failHis success rate dropped from “90%” to “85%” or “80%”.
Causal impressions aren’t permanent; they’re revised by new experience.
Three Ways of Rewriting
Way 1: Counterexample Appears
You always thought “stones all sink,” one day see pumice floating on water.
Old causal impression revised:
Stone → Will sink
Revised to:
Most stones sink, but pumice is exceptionWay 2: Leap Reconstruction
You always thought “overtime → promotion,” but one day discover coworker who overworked most was laid off.
Leap happens, entire causal chain reconstructed:
Old: Overtime → Good performance → Promotion
New: Overtime → Not necessarily good performance → Might be laid off (sign of low efficiency)Way 3: Weight Adjustment
You have two causal impressions:
A: Hard work → Success (60%)
B: Luck → Success (40%)Once you worked very hard but failed, while seeing others succeed with luck.
Weight adjustment:
A: Hard work → Success (50%)
B: Luck → Success (50%)Manipulating Causality—Beware Engineered Inevitability
Essence of Manipulation: Creating Causal Impression Links
All manipulation is creating high-frequency causal impression links.
Advertising manipulation:
Use our product → HappinessMechanism:
- Through massive repetition (ad placement)
- Through carefully designed images (beautiful scenarios)
- Building causal impression in your brain
Why effective:
- After seeing 100 times, brain automatically forms link
- Even if you “know this is advertising”
- Causal impression still forms
Case 1: Consumerism’s Causal Impression
Implanted links:
Purchase → Happiness
New model → Status
Brand name → SuccessMechanism:
- Countless ads, films, social media
- High-frequency repetition of same images and narratives
- Forms consensus in collective unconscious
Result:
- You “naturally” want to purchase
- You “instinctively” pursue new models
- You “take for granted” brand names represent success
But whose intention is this:
- Not your original intention
- But intention implanted by commercial system
Case 2: Political Propaganda’s Causal Impression
Implanted links:
Us → Justice
Them → Evil
Obedience → Safety
Questioning → DangerMechanism:
- Control information compression method (only show favorable)
- High-frequency repetition of same narrative
- Suppress different voices
Result:
- Forms “us vs them” binary thinking
- “Naturally” support one side
- “Take for granted” reject other side
Case 3: Success Studies’ Causal Impression
Implanted links:
Attend courses → Success
Buy books → Change
Join training → BreakthroughMechanism:
- Selectively display success cases (survivorship bias)
- Omit failure cases and conditions
- Create illusion of “as long as you’re willing”
Result:
- People continuously purchase courses
- Attribute failure to “not working hard enough”
- Continue purchasing next course
Two Methods to Identify Manipulation
Method 1: Question Compression Process
When someone shows you a causal link:
- What information was omitted?
- How many counterexamples are hidden?
- What premises is this link built on?
Method 2: Find Where Interest Lies
- Who’s promoting this causal link?
- What can they gain from it?
- Who benefits if I adopt this link?
Example:
“Join our training course → You’ll succeed”
- Method 1: What was omitted? (Other conditions needed for success: capability, resources, luck)
- Method 2: Who profits? (Training company makes money, you pay money)
Combining both methods can identify most manipulation.
Summary
How does experience form? Through three levels:
Level 1: Causal Impression
- Compression of high-frequency combinations
- From “this time +0.6” to “this shop → good”
- Forms quickly invokable intuition
Level 2: Experience-Based and Knowledge-Based Structures
- Experience-based: Personal experience, conditioned reflex-like
- Knowledge-based: Indirect learning, needs verification
- Science: High-quality experience-based structure
Level 3: Quality Management
- Identify illusory causality (correlation ≠ causation, omitted conditions, survivorship bias, hindsight)
- Prevent manipulation (question compression, find interests)
- Continuous revision (causal impressions can be rewritten)
Core insights:
- Causal impression isn’t “discovery of objective laws” but “compression of experience”
- Science is also causal impression, just higher quality
- Experience-based structure ≠ knowledge-based structure, transformation needs verification
- All causal impressions are condition-dependent, no absolute truth
- Beware implanted causal links
Practical value:
- Everyday scenarios: Trust experience, quick invocation
- Important decisions: Question experience, look for counterexamples
- Learning stage: Absorb knowledge, prepare verification
- Application stage: Carefully apply, observe feedback
- High manipulation risk scenarios: Question compression process
Ultimate goal:
See contingency in “inevitability,” see possibility in “taken for granted.”
Recognize experience’s value, also recognize experience’s limitations.
But there’s an even deeper question:
Where does intention itself come from?
We say “intention determines manifestation,” say “intention determines origin,” but intention itself?
- Why did I generate the intention to “recover cheated money”?
- Why did the seller generate the intention to “stonewall and delay”?
- Why did the official’s intention instantly change after hearing “have something to tell the mayor”?
Causal impression explains “why there’s such intuition.”
But intention is deeper—it determines what kind of causal impressions you’ll form.
A person who cares about health accumulates “food → health impact” causal impressions.
A person who cares about efficiency accumulates “method → efficiency improvement” causal impressions.
It’s intention that screens your experience and shapes your causal impressions.
Next Chapter: Where Intention Comes From